{"id":46676,"date":"2026-03-25T12:15:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T15:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/2026\/03\/25\/ted-cruzs-grim-prediction-for-republicans-if-the-midterm-election-were-held-today\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T12:15:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T15:15:00","slug":"ted-cruzs-grim-prediction-for-republicans-if-the-midterm-election-were-held-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/2026\/03\/25\/ted-cruzs-grim-prediction-for-republicans-if-the-midterm-election-were-held-today\/","title":{"rendered":"Ted Cruz&#8217;s grim prediction for Republicans if the midterm election were held today"},"content":{"rendered":"<div itemprop=\"articleBody\">\n<p><a target=\"_self\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/texas\/index.html\" id=\"mol-aa5156d0-2853-11f1-b742-8bce922c6f1a\">Texas<\/a> Senator <a target=\"_self\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/ted_cruz\/index.html\" id=\"mol-aa44aca0-2853-11f1-b742-8bce922c6f1a\">Ted Cruz<\/a>has offered a grim prediction about the outcome of a midterm <a target=\"_self\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/us-elections-2024\/index.html\" id=\"mol-aa51f310-2853-11f1-b742-8bce922c6f1a\">election<\/a> if it were held today.<\/p>\n<p><span>Cruz, one ofDonald Trump&#8217;s closest allies in theSenate, noted in an episode of a popular podcast that aired Sunday that &#8216;if the Election were held today, there would be a very good chance we would lose the House and we could lose the Senate as well.&#8217;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The former presidential candidate was questioned on theTRIGGERnometry show about recent odds showing plummeting support for Republicans holding the Senate &#8211; down 32 points from three months ago to just a 50 percent chance.<\/p>\n<p>Cruz said that in his &#8216;experience, prediction markets reflect the conventional wisdom at the time,&#8217; before adding that he didn&#8217;t &#8216;disagree with the proposition that politically, where we are right now is a challenging position for Republicans.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p><span>The former presidential candidate also noted that his party has &#8216;a remarkable record of success, much of which has not been communicated to the voters.&#8217;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Trump is coming under intense pressure to end the war in Iran, and on Tuesday, it was reported that the President&#8217;s team has submitted a 15-point peace plan and requested a 30-day ceasefire while negotiations take place.<\/p>\n<p><span>Pentagon chiefs have ordered 2,000 paratroopers to the Middle East, along with 4,500 Marines, bringing the total force for a potential ground invasion to some 7,000 soldiers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Trump is keeping his options open for a ground invasion, as Iran on Wednesday rejected the 15-point peace plan, instead demanding reparations and transit fees for the Strait of Hormuz.<\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Texas Senator Ted Cruz, a Republican, on theTRIGGERnometry podcast<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>A screengrab of Kalshi betting odds showing the chance of Republicans holding the Senate in the midterms, as seen on an episode of theTRIGGERnometry podcast<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>Brent crude prices see-sawed from $101 down to $94 on Tuesday evening before settling at $96 on Wednesday as markets reacted to the invasion threat and Iran&#8217;s rejection of the peace plan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Twenty-eight percent of respondents to a recent Daily Mail\/JL Partners poll cited the war as the top reason they disapprove of the job Trump is doing, up from the 20 percent who selected the Middle East in early March.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The<\/span>poll found that Trump&#8217;s approval rating has slipped to 42 percent, down from the 44 percent approval he received on March 3, just days into the <a target=\"_self\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/iran\/index.html\" id=\"mol-14d3eef0-2859-11f1-9a69-a5b23aef6a78\">Iran<\/a> conflict. Trump held a 48 percent approval rating as recently as late January.<\/p>\n<p><span>America&#8217;s war with Iran has also emerged as a fissure among the leading voices in the Republican party, Trump&#8217;s administration, and the conservative ecosystem as a whole.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The latest Daily Mail\/JL Partners poll also showed that Trump administration officials<span><\/span><span>who have taken the biggest hits in popularity are officials connected to the Iran war.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Pete Hegseth, the War Secretary, is now the joint-most unpopular Cabinet secretary, with a net approval rating of minus 10.<\/p>\n<p>Only 29 percent of those polled approved of his job performance, while 39 percent disapproved, and the rest were unsure.<\/p>\n<p>Hegseth&#8217;s net approval rating has plummeted 10 points since February 28, the day of the first strikes against Iran.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>TRIGGERnometry podcast cohosts Francis Foster (L) and Konstantin Kisin (R)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><iframe src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/ug07xac2gKM?rel=0\" allowfullscreen scrolling=\"no\" allow=\"accelerometer *; clipboard-write *; encrypted-media *; gyroscope *; picture-in-picture *; web-share *;\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Meanwhile, Marco Rubio maintains his position as the most popular member of the Cabinet, with a net approval rating of plus 1.<\/p>\n<p>However, Rubio, a main proponent of the Iran war, has also taken a hit, dropping eight points from February 28.<\/p>\n<p>Tulsi Gabbard, the Director of National Intelligence, has dropped seven points in that time to a net approval rating of minus four.<\/p>\n<p>There has been speculation about Gabbard&#8217;s position after Joe Kent, who worked for her as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, resigned in protest against the Iran war last week.<\/p>\n<p>In a blistering resignation letter, Kent wrote: &#8216;Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Gabbard issued her own statement saying her job was to give the president the &#8216;best information available&#8217; to base his decisions on.<\/p>\n<p>She wrote: &#8216;After carefully reviewing all the information before him, President Trump concluded that the terrorist Islamist regime in Iran posed an imminent threat and he took action based on that conclusion.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>However, prediction markets are now suggesting Gabbard is likely to be out by the end of the year.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Texas Senator Ted Cruzhas offered a grim prediction about the outcome of a midterm election if it were held today. Cruz, one ofDonald Trump&#8217;s closest allies in theSenate, noted in an episode of a popular podcast that aired Sunday that &#8216;if the Election were held today, there would be a very good chance we would [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-donald-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46676"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46676\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/service.codeus.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}